WE'LL TALK MORE SO DEMOCRATS HOPE OF KEEPING THE HOUSE FADES AS THE COUNTING CONTINUES. ABC NEWS CAN NOW PROJECT THAT REPUBLICANS HAVE FLIPPED A SEAT IN OREGON IN ONE OF THE KEY HOUSE RACES THIS CYCLE. CONTROL OF THE HOUSE REMAINS UNDECIDED AS SO MANY MORE OF THOSE RACES ARE STILL TOO CLOSE TO PROJECT. NOW, REPUBLICANS APPEAR TO HAVE THE ADVANTAGE, BUT ANY MAJORITY WILL BE RAZOR THIN. DEMOCRATS ARE GUARANTEED AT LEAST 50 SENATE SEATS WITH CATHERINE CORTEZ MASTO NARROW WIN IN NEVADA. AND THIS ALL COMES AHEAD OF A DECEMBER SIX SENATE RUNOFF IN GEORGIA. DEMOCRAT INCUMBENT RAPHAEL WARNOCK TAKING ON REPUBLICAN HERSCHEL WALKER JOINING US NOW FROM CAPITOL HILL. A LOT TO DIGEST. ABC'S BRIAN, YOU'VE BEEN FOLLOWING IT ALL THROUGH THE WEEKEND, JAY. REPUBLICANS NOW FLIPPED A SEAT IN OREGON AND ONE OF THOSE KEY HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVE RACES. THIS CYCLE, THOUGH, LET'S TALK ABOUT HOW SIGNIFICANT THIS IS AND WHAT OTHER HOUSE RACES ARE YOU KEEPING A CLOSE EYE ON THIS HOUR? >> YEAH, AND SO IT'S SIGNIFICANT IN THE SENSE THAT FLIPPING A DISTRICT IN OREGON PUTS REPUBLICANS THAT MUCH CLOSER TO THE MAJORITY. IT PUTS THEM WITHIN SIX SEATS OF GETTING THE MAJORITY. IT IS LIKELY AT THIS HOUR THAT THEY WILL GET THAT MAJORITY ULTIMATELY. BUT AS YOU WOULD SAID, ANY MAJORITY THAT THEY GET WOULD BE SLIM. THERE ARE OTHER RACES WHERE THEY WILL BE JUST AS SLIM, FRANKLY, AS ANY GOP MAJORITY IN THE HOUSE. A LOT OF THE OUTSTANDING RACES ARE IN ARIZONA, SOMEWHERE IN CALIFORNIA, THERE'S ONE IN CALIFORNIA'S 13TH THAT THE REPUBLICANS LEADING BY EIGHTY FOUR VOTES THERE. SO IT IS CERTAINLY NOT AS YOU HEARD FOR THE PAST WEEK OR SO, THE RED WAVE THAT REPUBLICANS PROJECTED. DEMOCRATS STILL, THOUGH, HAVE TO PITCH IN ESSENCE, A PERFECT GAME TO HOLD ON TO THEIR MAJORITY HERE, WHICH IS CONSIDERED UNLIKELY. AND IT'S ONE OF THE REASONS WHY YOU'RE SEEING REPUBLICANS HERE ON THE HILL BEGIN TO MEASURE THE DRAPES AND POSITION THEMSELVES AS IF THEY ARE THAT MUCH CLOSER TO TAKING THE MAJORITY IN THE HOUSE. >> SO HOUSE MINORITY LEADER KEVIN MCCARTHY, WE TALKED ABOUT THIS LAST WEEK, RUNNING FOR THE SPEAKERSHIP, SAYS THAT HE HAS THE VOTES TO WIN. COULD WE SEE ANY OTHER REPUBLICANS, DO YOU THINK, CHALLENGE HIM AT THIS POINT FOR THIS TOP JOB IN THE HOUSE? WELL, THERE ARE QUESTIONS ABOUT POTENTIAL LONG SHOT BIDS FROM OTHER REPUBLICANS IN THE HOUSE FREEDOM CAUCUS. MCCARTHY NEEDS AT THE END OF THE DAY, TWO HUNDRED AND EIGHTEEN VOTES TO BECOME THE NEXT SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE. HE HAS PRETTY STRONG OPPOSITION FROM SOME IN THE FREEDOM CAUCUS OF FURTHER RIGHT OF THE REPUBLICAN CONFERENCE RIGHT NOW. REPUBLICANS, AS I SAID, THEY'RE POSITIONING THEMSELVES AS IF THEY'RE GOING TO TAKE THE MAJORITY. THEY'VE GOT LEADERSHIP ELECTIONS TOMORROW. MCCARTHY DOESN'T NEED 218 TO BECOME ESSENTIALLY THE LIKELY POSITION POISED THAT IT'S NOT A NOMINEE. BUT NOMINEE IS THE BEST WORD I CAN USE TO TRY TO GIVE PEOPLE A SENSE OF WHAT IT'S GOING TO BE THAT WOULD ESSENTIALLY PUT CARTHY IN LINE TO BECOME SPEAKER OF THE HOUSE. HE ONLY NEEDS A SIMPLE MAJORITY THERE. BUT THEN IN JANUARY , HE NEEDS TWO HUNDRED AND EIGHTEEN. HE CANNOT AFFORD TO LOSE MANY OF HIS FELLOW REPUBLICANS, EVEN ONE , TWO OR THREE . OPPOSING HIM IS A SIGNIFICANT HURDLE FOR MCCARTHY. AND THERE ARE LAWMAKERS WHO HAVE SAID THEY WILL NOT VOTE FOR HIM. RIGHT. ALL RIGHT. WELL, LET'S CONTINUE TO TALK ABOUT POSSIBLE HURDLE HURDLES. IF DEMOCRATS WIN THE GEORGIA SENATE RUNOFF, OF COURSE, THIS WILL EXPAND THEIR MAJORITY. DO YOU THINK THAT COULD HELP AVOID SOME OF THE INFIGHTING THAT WE JUST CONTINUE TO SEE, ESPECIALLY AMONG MODERATE DEMOCRATS LIKE JOE MANCHIN AND KYRSTEN SINEMA, WHO AMERICANS ACROSS THE COUNTRY REALLY LEARN THE NAMES JOE MANCHIN AND KYRSTEN SINEMA, UNLESS THEY WERE FROM THEIR STATES BECAUSE THEY WERE THOSE DEMOCRATIC HOLDOUT VOTES, PARTICULARLY MANCHIN , THE CONSERVATIVE DEMOCRAT FROM WEST VIRGINIA. SO IF REPUBLICANS DO KEEP OR CHEATING, IF DEMOCRATS KEEP WARNOCK'S SEAT , THEY HAVE THAT 51 SEAT MAJORITY, THAT WOULD BE SIGNIFICANT FOR THEM BECAUSE JOE MANCHIN WOULD CERTAINLY NOT HAVE THE NEGOTIATING POWER THAT HE HAS. NOW, THE ADMINISTRATION HAS SAID THERE ARE THINGS THAT THEY WANT TO PUT FORWARD IN A DEMOCRAT CONTROLLED SENATE. CODIFYING ROE V. WADE IS ONE. BUT YOU HEARD THE PRESIDENT ACKNOWLEDGE EARLIER TODAY, EVEN IF THEY DO PUT FORWARD LEGISLATION, PARTICULARLY IN CODIFYING ROE , HE DOESN'T FEEL THAT THERE ARE RIGHT NOW THE VOTES IN THE HOUSE, GIVEN THAT LIKELIHOOD OF A SLIM GOP MAJORITY THERE. SO WHAT DO YOU THINK, JAY? WOULD REPUBLICANS IN THE HOUSE IMPACT THE SECOND HALF OF BIDEN'S TERM? I THINK ESPECIALLY AS SOME REPUBLICANS ARE CALLING FOR INVESTIGATIONS INTO HIS FAMILY AND ADMINISTRATION. WHAT ARE YOU HEARING FROM FROM GOP LAWMAKERS UP THERE ON THE HILL? OH, WE'RE HEARING GOP LAWMAKERS WHO ARE CHOMPING AT THE BIT TO BEGIN THESE INVESTIGATIONS INTO PRESIDENT BIDEN, INTO THE ADMINISTRATION, INTO HUNTER BIDEN, INTO THE ADMINISTRATION'S BORDER POLICIES, EVEN GOING AS FAR AS INTO THE ADMINISTRATION'S TREATMENT OF PARENTS WHO ATTENDED SCHOOL BOARD MEETINGS IN A GOP CONTROLLED HOUSE. THOSE INVESTIGATIONS ARE IN NEAR CERTAINTY, AND IT WOULD COMPLICATE THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN PRESIDENT BIDEN AND A POTENTIAL SPEAKER, KEVIN MCCARTHY, BECAUSE BOTH HAVE SAID THEY WANT TO WORK IN A BIPARTISAN WAY. THEY WANT TO GO FORWARD ON BIPARTISAN ISSUES. BUT THOSE INVESTIGATIONS INTO THE ADMINISTRATION, INTO THE PRESIDENT HIMSELF, THE PRESIDENT'S FAMILY, WOULD CERTAINLY TURN THAT RELATIONSHIP POTENTIALLY